Sports activities Desk11 minutes in the past
The upsets within the T20 World Cup have spoiled the equation of the 4 huge groups. The issues of 2009 champion Pakistan have elevated after shedding to America and 2021 runner-up New Zealand have elevated after shedding to Afghanistan. Defending champion England couldn’t get its first win even after 2 matches. On the similar time, 2014 champion Sri Lanka is near being eradicated from the group stage after shedding 2 consecutive matches.
Whereas getting ready the schedule of the match, ICC had stored in thoughts that there must be 2 sturdy and three weak groups in every group. In order that solely 2 prime groups from every of the 4 teams attain the Tremendous-8 stage and the following stage is difficult. However the defeat of the sturdy groups has spoiled the plans of ICC. Tell us how the state of affairs of Pakistan, Sri Lanka, England and New Zealand is presently…
If Pakistan loses immediately then the following stage is nearly not possible
Pakistan misplaced to USA in its first group match. With this defeat, the staff reached fourth place within the factors desk of Group-A. Right this moment they may face India, if the staff loses right here then Pakistan's probabilities of reaching Tremendous-8 shall be decreased resulting from two consecutive defeats.
After Pakistan's defeat immediately, if India defeats Canada and America defeats Eire, then each the groups can have 6-6 factors. In such a state of affairs, 2 groups from India and America will qualify from Group-A. On the similar time, the journey of 2022 runner-up staff Pakistan will finish within the group stage itself.
Group-A equation: India and America have extra possibilities to qualify
In Group A, America is presently on the prime of the factors desk after profitable 2 matches. India is on the second place after profitable one match and getting 2 factors.
- America has 2 matches in opposition to India and Eire. America has much less probabilities of profitable in opposition to India, however the staff can attain 6 factors by defeating Eire.
- India has 3 matches in opposition to Pakistan, America and Canada. India has a excessive probability of profitable in all three matches. This will help the staff attain 8 factors.
- If America upsets India then America can have 8 factors and India can have 6 factors. On this situation additionally Pakistan shall be out of the group stage.
- If Pakistan now desires to make it to the Tremendous-8 stage, it must defeat India. Together with this, it’s going to additionally need to win the final two matches.
Can Pakistan qualify even after shedding to India?
Sure, after shedding to India, if Pakistan defeats Eire and Canada, the staff can have 4 factors. After this, they must pray that America loses each the matches. America has 2 matches in opposition to India and Eire. Each the groups are higher than America within the ICC rankings and are additionally contenders to defeat America. If America loses each the matches, then each they and Pakistan can have 4-4 factors. In such a state of affairs, Pakistan must keep a greater run charge than America to qualify.
Sri Lanka's issues elevated after shedding to Bangladesh
In Group D, the 2014 champion Sri Lanka has suffered two consecutive defeats and the staff is at quantity 5 within the factors desk. Sri Lanka was defeated by South Africa within the first match and Bangladesh within the second match. Attributable to this, it appears troublesome for Sri Lanka to achieve the Tremendous-8.
Sri Lanka has 2 matches in opposition to Nepal and Netherlands, even when they win each the matches, the staff can have solely 4 factors. Whereas South Africa and Bangladesh groups can attain Tremendous-8 by getting 6-6 factors every.
Group-D equation: South Africa has larger probabilities of qualification
South Africa and Bangladesh's probabilities of reaching the following spherical from Group D have elevated. The staff has 4 factors from 2 wins and is on the prime of the factors desk. Bangladesh is on the second place with 2 factors.
- South Africa has 2 matches remaining in opposition to Bangladesh and Nepal. By profitable each the matches, the staff shall be at primary with 8 factors and can qualify.
- Bangladesh has 3 matches remaining in opposition to South Africa, Nepal and Netherlands. If Bangladesh wins even 2 matches, the staff can qualify with 6 factors.
- Netherlands can even qualify from Group D. The staff has 2 factors after 2 matches. In the event that they win each the final matches in opposition to Sri Lanka and Bangladesh, then the staff will qualify with 6 factors. Nonetheless, the probabilities of this are very much less.
Afghanistan elevated New Zealand's issues
2021 runner-up New Zealand was defeated by Afghanistan by 84 runs within the very first match, resulting from which the staff is on the final place within the factors desk. Now they need to play their subsequent match in opposition to the house staff West Indies. If the Kiwi staff loses to West Indies as nicely, then the state of affairs of the staff will grow to be like Sri Lanka.
In Group C, if Afghanistan defeats Papua New Guinea and West Indies defeats Uganda, then each groups can have 6-6 factors. It will make sure that Afghanistan and West Indies qualify and New Zealand's journey will finish.
Group-C equation: Afghanistan can qualify
Afghanistan is on the prime of Group C with 4 factors after profitable 2 matches. West Indies is on the second place with 2 factors.
- Afghanistan has 2 matches in opposition to Papua New Guinea and West Indies. If the staff wins each the matches, it’s going to qualify with 8 factors. Then again, if it wins even one match, the staff will get 6 factors.
- West Indies has 3 matches remaining in opposition to Uganda, New Zealand and Afghanistan. If the staff wins all three matches, it’s going to qualify with 8 factors. If it wins 2 matches, the staff can have 6 factors. Then again, if each New Zealand and Afghanistan defeat the house staff, then West Indies may also be eradicated from the group stage itself.
- The match between West Indies and New Zealand shall be a do or die state of affairs for each the groups. As a result of in the event that they lose right here, then their probabilities of qualifying even after profitable in opposition to weaker groups will cut back.
England might also be out
Defending champion England additionally has an opportunity of being eradicated from the group stage. England's first match in opposition to Scotland was inconclusive resulting from rain. The staff misplaced in opposition to Australia in Barbados. Attributable to this, England has just one level from 2 matches and the staff has reached fourth place within the factors desk with no win.
England now has 2 matches left in opposition to Namibia and Oman. Even when they win each, the staff can have solely 5 factors. If Scotland defeats Oman, they may even have 5 factors. On this situation, the staff with a greater run charge will qualify.
Group-B equation: Australia has larger probabilities of qualification
Australia is on the prime of Group B with 4 factors after profitable 2 matches. Scotland is on the second place with 3 factors from 2 matches.
- Australia has 2 matches remaining in opposition to Namibia and Scotland. Australia has a excessive probability of profitable each. It will assist the staff qualify with 8 factors.
- Scotland has 2 matches remaining in opposition to Australia and Oman. In the event that they win even one match, the staff can have 5 factors. If the staff defeats Australia, it’s going to affirm qualification with 7 factors. Nonetheless, the probabilities of profitable in opposition to Australia are much less.
- England will be capable to qualify with 5 factors provided that Scotland loses each of its remaining matches or if Scotland's run charge stays decrease than England even after profitable one match. At present, Scotland's run charge is a lot better than England.
Graphics: Mahesh Verma
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